BUYER + SELLER EVIDENCE HUB

See what is being built, and what the data cannot tell you.

One concise view connects new-home price direction, what was started, today’s construction pipeline and the rental alternative. Choose a CMA, then switch between buyer and seller questions.

259,028homes started across Canada in 2025+5.6% from 2024
2.25%Bank of Canada policy rate2026-08-11
6.09%Typical posted 5-year conventional ratePublished context, not an available or negotiated mortgage quote
Build your evidence view
Decision lens

Toronto evidence view updated for a buyer.

Selected market evidence

Toronto

As of 2026-06
New-home price index-4.5%

12-month change to June 2026

Index level; December 2016 = 100: 106.0
Apartment starts-29.3%

below the ten-year average

2025 versus 2016 to 2025 average
Ground-oriented starts-39.6%

below the ten-year average

2025 versus 2016 to 2025 average
Missing-middle share36.7%

15.5% + 21.2%

Share of all 2025 starts
Toronto

Four signals, one bounded view

Price direction, construction mix, the current pipeline and rental context answer different questions. They are shown together without turning them into a score or forecast.

What was being startedThe same scale compares 2025 activity with each market’s ten-year average.

Apartment starts

202518,986
10-year average26,856

Ground-oriented starts

20257,101
10-year average11,760
Missing-middle shareShare of all 2025 starts
New missing-middle starts
15.5%
Conversions
21.2%
Other starts
63.3%
What is moving through constructionTotal units; rolling 12 months ending June 2026.
Starts26,737-3.7% versus the prior 12 months
Completions28,391Total units; rolling 12 months ending June 2026.
Under construction92,217As of 2026-06
The rental alternativePurpose-built row and apartment structures of three units or more; 2025 annual survey.
Vacancy rate3.0%+0.5 percentage points from 2024
Average two-bedroom rent$2,045+3.7% from 2024

Not an asking rent, turnover rent or rented-condo measure.

Buyer

Use this before narrowing a home search

These signals help frame the supply and rental alternatives around a purchase. They do not tell you what a specific home is worth or whether an offer will succeed.

  1. Does the mix of homes being started match the property type and timeline you need?
  2. How does the purpose-built rental alternative affect the cost of waiting?
  3. Can your budget absorb a different mortgage rate than either published context rate?
7 CMA / RMR

Compare all seven CMAs

Open the compact evidence table
MarketNew-home index, 12mApartment starts vs. averageGround-oriented vs. averageRolling startsVacancy2-bed rent
Vancouver-3.2%+8.6%-20.9%26,9353.7%$2,364
Calgary-0.9%+110.4%+48.0%24,3234.9%$1,908
Edmonton-1.2%+107.7%+31.7%19,1533.8%$1,598
Montréal+3.2%+26.2%-31.4%28,4922.9%$1,346
Ottawa-0.2%+84.5%-25.3%13,2363.1%$1,757
Toronto-4.5%-29.3%-39.6%26,7373.0%$2,045
Halifax+1.0%+108.4%+20.0%5,8712.6%$1,828
Scope / Portée

Read each measure for what it is

New-home price direction

Statistics Canada’s index measures agreed selling prices for new single, semi-detached and row homes. It is not a resale price, average home price or valuation.

Construction activity

A start marks the beginning of construction; a completion marks completion. Units under construction are a pipeline count, not a promise of when a unit will be available.

Purpose-built rental context

The annual CMHC survey covers privately initiated row and apartment structures of three units or more. It does not describe every rental listing or rented condominium.

Boundary: this hub contains no resale price, sales, inventory, valuation or neighbourhood claim. Use recent local resale evidence for a specific transaction.

Open data

Source trail and reproducibility

Open all datasets, dates and transformations
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Spring 2026 Housing Supply Report

Dataset
CMHC Starts and Completions Survey; figures 1 to 3
Observed
2025
Released
2026-03-11
Used here for
2025 apartment and ground-oriented starts, ten-year averages, and missing-middle shares
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation via Statistics Canada

Housing starts, under construction and completions in selected CMAs, monthly

Dataset
Statistics Canada table 34-10-0154-01
Observed
2026-06
Released
2026-07-17
Used here for
Rolling 12-month total-unit starts and completions, prior-period starts, and latest units under construction
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation via Statistics Canada

Vacancy rates, privately initiated row and apartment structures of three units and over

Dataset
Statistics Canada table 34-10-0130-01
Observed
2025
Released
2025-12-17
Used here for
2024 and 2025 purpose-built rental vacancy rates
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation via Statistics Canada

Average rents for areas with a population of 10,000 and over

Dataset
Statistics Canada table 34-10-0133-01
Observed
2025
Released
2025-12-17
Used here for
2024 and 2025 average two-bedroom rent in privately initiated row and apartment structures of three units and over
Bank of Canada

Posted interest rates offered by major chartered banks

Dataset
Valet series V80691335
Observed
2026-08-12
Released
2026-08-12
Used here for
Typical posted conventional five-year mortgage rate; not an available, negotiated, qualifying, or recommended rate

Adapted from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Spring 2026 Housing Supply Report, 2025. This does not constitute an endorsement by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation of this product.

Adapted from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Starts and Completions Survey and Rental Market Survey, June 2026 and 2025 reference periods. This does not constitute an endorsement by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation of this product.

Adapted from Statistics Canada, New housing price index, monthly (Table 18-10-0205-01), June 2026. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.

All added housing-insight sources retrieved August 13, 2026.